Josh Allen Poised for Career-Best Passing Season

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen enters his seventh NFL campaign with the conditions perfectly aligned for his most prolific passing year yet. The elements are all in place for the franchise cornerstone to finally deliver elite-level numbers through the air.

Third-Ranked Defense Provides Ideal Foundation

The Bills boast the NFL’s third-ranked defense heading into 2025. This dramatic improvement means Allen won’t be forced into reckless throws to keep his team competitive. Stronger field position and fewer high-scoring shootouts will allow him to play with greater efficiency.

Buffalo added edge rusher Joey Bosa on a one-year deal and invested their first three draft picks on defense, including first-round cornerback Maxwell Hairston. These moves underscore the franchise’s clear commitment to fortifying that side of the ball.

Young Weapons Ready to Emerge

Second-year receiver Keon Coleman showed flashes of brilliance as a rookie, averaging 19 yards per catch despite missing four games to injury. Determined to become more versatile, Coleman has been candid in critiquing his own play: “You gotta be more efficient here… You gotta give Josh more room to throw the ball. You gotta catch that.” His harsh self-assessment reveals a growth mindset and signals he’s prepared to take the next leap.

Tight end Dalton Kincaid also returns fully healthy after battling knee injuries last season. Entering his third year, he’s been lauded throughout training camp and had already commanded 19% of the team’s targets even while hindered last year.

Joe Brady’s System Hitting Its Stride

Offensive coordinator Joe Brady begins his second full season orchestrating the offense. Under his guidance, the Bills scored 62 touchdowns in 2024—the second-highest total in the league. Importantly, the system grows stronger as the season progresses: Buffalo was on pace for 68 touchdowns in the second half alone, evidence that Brady’s scheme truly clicks once players gain full familiarity.

Allen’s Perfect Storm

Allen has never averaged more than 8.0 yards per attempt in his career, but this could be the year he finally surpasses that mark. With revitalized weapons, a reinforced defense, and a proven system entering its prime, the environment is perfectly calibrated for Allen’s most efficient passing season to date.

-Adapted from the Deep Dive Fantasy Football Podcast